Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.749235 2.936795 3.136935 3.367461 3.627014 3.911825 4.250226
2026-01-18 2.498827 2.761334 3.057934 3.421954 3.862523 4.386480 5.069484
2026-01-25 2.542547 2.891409 3.305568 3.843929 4.541926 5.442321 6.740165
2026-02-01 2.316126 2.671113 3.103019 3.681233 4.458879 5.508480 7.113904
2026-02-08 2.124231 2.474640 2.908644 3.502462 4.323546 5.471533 7.313815
2026-02-15 2.017637 2.375616 2.827482 3.460481 4.362940 5.676130 7.905982
2026-02-22 1.911862 2.269789 2.728350 3.382883 4.339501 5.778553 8.344299
2026-03-01 1.804163 2.154996 2.609429 3.267225 4.246902 5.759106 8.562477
2026-03-08 1.697124 2.035806 2.477901 3.124239 4.099966 5.634636 8.563725
2026-03-15 1.648647 1.991763 2.445477 3.120055 4.162289 5.856134 9.262336
2026-03-22 1.600238 1.945259 2.406677 3.102987 4.201401 6.040967 9.928357
2026-03-29 1.554810 1.900623 2.367873 3.082672 4.232284 6.213277 10.608654
2026-04-05 1.512203 1.862982 2.343811 3.093752 4.333987 6.563020 11.894536
2026-04-12 1.482946 1.843054 2.344805 3.145034 4.512609 7.099543 13.916704
2026-04-19 1.540721 1.947807 2.533512 3.510510 5.298308 9.083294 21.754294
2026-04-26 1.463602 1.854845 2.420373 3.369971 5.125694 8.909598 22.117204
2026-05-03 1.388085 1.761538 2.302752 3.214889 4.911199 8.604251 21.811500
2026-05-10 1.346569 1.716342 2.256704 3.178373 4.925282 8.858182 24.147203
2026-05-17 1.300465 1.662650 2.195024 3.110776 4.870175 8.929095 25.749971
2026-05-24 1.249304 1.599838 2.116691 3.009779 4.738230 8.779283 26.142698
2026-05-31 1.195116 1.531083 2.026854 2.884508 4.547514 8.449021 25.373216
2026-06-07 1.171718 1.507404 2.006758 2.880835 4.608569 8.809257 28.992273
2026-06-14 1.147105 1.481051 1.981269 2.865850 4.644122 9.108752 32.781532